Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 2.713374 2.860716 3.014535 3.187588 3.377459 3.580122 3.813700
2025-11-09 2.425816 2.631975 2.857738 3.125262 3.436210 3.789512 4.226120
2025-11-16 2.253425 2.490794 2.759047 3.088346 3.486982 3.961170 4.579436
2025-11-23 2.152283 2.415037 2.719730 3.105004 3.588037 4.186540 5.006511
2025-11-30 2.067139 2.348290 2.681351 3.113174 3.671244 4.388281 5.416498
2025-12-07 1.955098 2.240546 2.583899 3.037245 3.636441 4.427783 5.603669
2025-12-14 1.865093 2.153978 2.506210 2.978950 3.616726 4.480842 5.809195
2025-12-21 1.803631 2.099032 2.464113 2.962266 3.648606 4.603691 6.126225
2025-12-28 1.748084 2.048404 2.424114 2.944547 3.675646 4.718902 6.441346
2026-01-04 1.709472 2.017207 2.407021 2.955469 3.741783 4.894356 6.871883
2026-01-11 1.678479 1.994111 2.398822 2.977047 3.823129 5.097726 7.374584
2026-01-18 1.645166 1.966333 2.382628 2.985701 3.884735 5.274043 7.853393
2026-01-25 1.595881 1.916768 2.336395 2.951262 3.882206 5.352174 8.174165
2026-02-01 1.541855 1.859259 2.277340 2.895715 3.844120 5.369109 8.382338
2026-02-08 1.499375 1.815728 2.235661 2.863093 3.838989 5.439946 8.707722
2026-02-15 1.475624 1.796544 2.226726 2.877811 3.908979 5.645573 9.348403
2026-02-22 1.450944 1.775107 2.213534 2.885028 3.966609 5.834025 9.989502
2026-03-01 1.404078 1.721755 2.153245 2.817902 3.897266 5.783783 10.072772
2026-03-08 1.364462 1.677387 2.104402 2.766281 3.850838 5.772304 10.247527
2026-03-15 1.338291 1.650910 2.080243 2.751493 3.865288 5.876664 10.727083
2026-03-22 1.313160 1.625171 2.056256 2.735782 3.876890 5.976070 11.215634
2026-03-29 1.296728 1.611148 2.048745 2.745467 3.932857 6.168305 12.000530
2026-04-05 1.283769 1.601604 2.047355 2.764595 4.006369 6.403638 12.976158